Service Plays Thursday 10/14/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What Bettors Need To Know: Thursday's NCAAF Action

Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas Jayhawks (+2.5, 50.5)

The Skinny

Kansas State (4-1, 1-1) has a chance to save face after getting embarrassed at home by Nebraska last week on Thursday night football. The Cornhuskers exposed a very suspect Wildcat rush defense and stymied what had been a successful Kansas State ground game, led by running back Daniel Thomas.

The Wildcats are ranked 116th in the nation in run defense, after surrendering 451 yards rushing in a 48-13 loss to the Huskers.

The Jayhawks (2-3, 0-1) also got blasted the last time they stepped on the field. Baylor blew out Kansas 55-7 in coach Turner Gill’s Big 12 debut back on Oct. 2. So Gill had a few more days to see if he can fix a host of problems for the Jayhawks, who rank 11th or 12th in the Big 12 in eight major statistical categories.

Kansas opened the season with a 6-3 loss to North Dakota State of the FCS.

The Line

Kansas State opened as a 3.5-point favorite. The line was bet down to -3 almost instantly and was down to -2.5 at most outlets as of Wednesday afternoon.

The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last six meeting between the Jayhawks and Wildcats. The favorite has covered the spread in seven of the last 10.

Kansas State covered as 2.5-point home underdogs in a 17-10 win over the Jayhawks last season.

The Total

The opening 50.5 total had not budged as of Wednesday.

The Jayhawks are scoring 19.2 and allowing 26.6 points per game. The Wildcats are scoring 27.20 and allowing 25.4 points per game.

Weather is not expected to be a factor.

Injuries

Kansas State will be without leading receiver Brodrick Smith (leg).

Kansas will be without starting offensive lineman Trevor Marrongelli (knee surgery). Starting senior safety Phillip Strozier is listed as doubtful.

South Florida Bulls at West Virginia Mountaineers (-10, 43)

The Skinny

West Virginia heads into Big East play at 4-1, with its only loss coming at No. 9 LSU. The Mountaineers are seventh in total defense and have been especially stingy against the run, allowing just 86.8 yards on the ground. The offense, led by the explosive Noel Devine and improving quarterback Gino Smith, has been extremely balanced.

West Virginia is coming off its best performance of the season in a 49-10 rout of UNLV.

In contrast, South Florida (3-2, 0-1) is coming off its worst performance in an ugly 13-9 home loss to Syracuse. Sophomore quarterback B.J. Daniels has struggled in the passing game. He’s thrown four touchdowns with seven interceptions.

South Florida’s wins have come against Stony Brook, Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic.

The Line

West Virginia opened as an 11.5-point favorite. The line was down to -10.5 at most outlets as of Wednesday.

The Bulls have covered the spread in only six of their last 21 games against teams with a winning record.

South Florida has upset West Virginia in three of their last four meetings, including a 30-19 home win last season.

The Total

The total opened up at 43 and remained there as of Wednesday afternoon.

A 50 percent chance of rain is in the forecast with temperatures expected to be in the low 50s.

West Virginia is scoring 29.8 and allowing 13.60 points per game. South Florida is scoring 27.4 and allowing 16 points per game.

As the total suggests, this has historically been a low-scoring Big East matchup. The five games between the teams have averaged just 37 points.

Injuries

West Virginia’s starting cornerback Brandon Hogan (bicep) is questionable.

South Florida has five starters listed on its injury report. Defensive back Mistral Raymond and wide receiver Sterling Griffin are probable. Offensive lineman Jamar Bass, wide receiver A.J. Love and defensive back Jerrell Young are questionable.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Best NCAA Bets

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks +2.5, 50.5

Down in the cornfields in Kansas, two of the country’s more bitter rivals will meet in a crucial undercard NCAA football betting affair on Thursday night, as the Kansas Jayhawks play host to the Kansas State Wildcats.

KSU is absolutely a one dimensional team, and it proved it last week when it ran up against one of the best defenses you’ll ever see in that of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. When RB Daniel Thomas was taken out of the game, there was just no chance to get the offense kick started no matter who was taking snaps under center. A bit of a one man wrecking crew, Thomas has been great this year, rushing for 691 yards on a stunning 127 carries. His average of 5.4 yards per carry was drastically cut last week, and it also marked the first time this season that he didn’t find pay dirt. QB Carson Coffman tried his best last week, but he just couldn’t get it going through the air. He has completed 61.2 percent of his passes for 730 yards and six scores against three picks. The defense for the Wildcats was absolutely blown apart by the Huskers’ ground game, something that is worth noting. Any team that averages allowing 246.6 yards per game to opposing rushers has to immediately have a big, red caution sign in the air.

The Jayhawks just don’t have the same type of talent quite yet that the Wildcats do. HC Turner Gill is doing everything that he can do, but his defense just isn’t good enough to compete with the best in the Big XII and his offense doesn’t have enough playmakers. The ‘D’ gave up a season worst 55 points last week in a 55-7 blowout against the Baylor Bears in one of the most disgraceful games that this program has seen in years. Just like Coffman is doing the best he can with KSU, QB Jordan Webb is doing what he can for the Jayhawks. Unfortunately, the frosh has really only had one good game this year, a three TD performance against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, and he has yet to break 250 passing yards in a game in his career. RB James Sims is an okay running back, but his numbers aren’t going to blow you away at 329 rushing yards and three TDs on the year.

What we have to remember in the Sunflower State showdown is that these teams both have a bad perception after getting blown away last week. All too often, there is a major reaction to just one week of play by the oddsmakers, and that’s what we see this week with the men in black and purple favored by just 2.5 points. KSU isn’t the real deal, nor will it really compete in the Big XII North when the season ends. However, the Wildcats are a bowl team. Kansas isn’t anywhere near that level quite yet. It’ll be another tough loss for Gill and the gang in this rivalry on Thursday night.

Pick: Kansas State Wildcats -2.5


South Florida Bulls vs. West Virginia Mountaineers -10, 43

Bitter Big East foes duke it out in what could be a very crucial college football betting affair on Thursday night, as the West Virginia Mountaineers try to run with the South Florida Bulls.

USF dug itself a major hole last week by losing to the Syracuse Orange at home. By Big East standards, that’s as close to a bye week as it gets, and the Bulls had no business losing that game. QB BJ Daniels was just awful on the day, as he went only 9-of-23 for 124 yards with a pair of INTs. He also couldn’t get the ground game going, as he had -1 yard on the ground. The defense for HC Skip Holtz’s team is playing well, but thanks to the fact that this schedule hasn’t been much to write home about, we aren’t so sure whether this is a product of Holtz’s ‘D’ or the poor stock of teams to play against. In fact, the only team that is going to be anywhere near the Top 25 on the schedule so far is the Florida Gators, who put 38 on the board and was the only team that scored more than 14 points on this defense all season long. The Bulls might be a 3-2 team, but they certainly haven’t played the role of a team that looks like it can compete in the Big East this year.

West Virginia has to love the fact that everyone else in this conference seems to be struggling. This is the first game of the Big East slate for ‘Neers who, unlike South Florida, have played a legitimate slate. This defense definitely has the statistics and the schedule to be considered the big time. The Mountaineers rank No. 7 in the land in total defense at 254.6 yards per game, No. 9 in rush defense at 86.8 yards per game, and No. 7 in scoring at 13.6 points per game. No one has scored more than 21 points on this defense, and there might not be a team that has the chance to do this all season long on this team. Offensively, there are some things to work out, but QB Geno Smith is improving on the job against some of the best that the country has to offer. He has thrown for 1,139 yards and 12 TDs this season. RB Noel Devine seems to be a forgotten commodity for this ‘O’. He has rumbled for 475 yards in five games and is a candidate to pick up 150+ yards in a game against anyone in the country.

The Mountaineers are laying a ton of points in this game, and we just can’t roll with the punches. WVU is going to win this game, but the Bulls have to make amends for the errors of last week. Daniels will give everything he has for sure. It won’t be enough to win, but this is too many points to leave on the table in a conference game, even if it is in Morgantown.

Pick: South Florida Bulls +10.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 103-104: Kansas State at Kansas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 90.245; Kansas 83.435
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 7; 55
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-2 1/2); Over

Game 105-106: South Florida at West Virginia (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 87.848; West Virginia 96.290
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 12; 43
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+12); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. Bob

**Kansas State (-2 ½) 29 KANSAS 19

I’ll take Kansas State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers Wipeout

Friday
Cincinnati Bearcats

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux

#103 - NCAAF - Kansas State -2.5
#105 - NCAAF - South Florida +10.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LIONofVEGAS

3 UNIT Kansas State Wildcats -2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Betting Preview

HURRICANES (2-0-0) at SENATORS (0-2-1)

TV: TSN; Fox Sports-Carolina.

Season Series: This is the first of four meetings between the teams. Carolina went 2-1-1 against Ottawa last season, winning games on Jan. 10 and March 4 before suffering a shootout loss on April 1.

Big Story: The Hurricanes return to North America after a successful tour of Europe that saw them win back-to-back games against the Minnesota Wild in Helsinki, Finland. After earning a 4-3 victory last Thursday, Carolina made it two in a row behind the goaltending of Cam Ward in a 2-1 shootout win on Friday.

"I might have been a little bit overhyped in the first game (on Thursday), but from the drop of the puck (on Friday) I felt really calm and really relaxed and it showed out there," said Ward, who made 41 saves in his second win of the season.

Team Scope:

Hurricanes: Cam Ward wasn't the only player on Carolina's roster who shined in Finland. Rookie forward Jeff Skinner scored the team's lone goal in the shootout on Friday and also set up its first goal, which was scored by Tuomo Ruutu.

"This was my second game, and a great way to finish that off," the 18-year-old Skinner said. "First, I was looking to shoot, but the puck was rolling on me and I tried to settle it down. It sort of opened up for me then."

Senators: This will be Ottawa's fourth game of the 2010-11 season, but the Sens are still in search of their first win after earning just one of a possible six points. After dropping their home opener against Buffalo last Friday, the Senators then suffered a 5-1 loss at Toronto on Saturday before dropping a 3-2 overtime decision in Washington on Monday.

"No one wants to be losing that many games in a row and I think it's been overanalyzed to a point," forward Nick Foligno said. "We're not worried in this locker room, we're not panicking. We know we're a good hockey team and we showed that against Washington."

Who's Hot: Jussi Jokinen has a goal and two assists in Carolina's first two games, while Brandon Sutter has two goals. Ward is boasting a 1.92 goals-against average and a .944 save percentage. … For Ottawa, Jarkko Ruutu has a goal and an assist, while Chris Neil has two assists.

Injury Report: Hurricanes forward Sergei Samsonov will be a game-time decision. Samsonov injured his neck during an exhibition game against Atlanta on Sept. 25 and did not travel with the team to Europe. … Sens captain Daniel Alfredsson is expected to play despite leaving Monday's game with a lower-body injury. Filip Kuba (broken leg) is out.

Stat Pack: Carolina left Finland with two wins and four points. Last season, the Hurricanes didn't earn their third victory until Nov. 15, when they beat Minnesota in a shootout.

Puck Drop: "We looked like a team, we looked hungry and we played together. We moved the puck better and we did all the things we need to do ... For whatever reason, we didn't come to play in the first two games. That's a lesson, that if we're not ready to play, we're not going to beat anyone. There are no easy games and we've got to get that into our heads." -- Sens center Mike Fisher

BLUES: 2-0-0 (4) at PREDATORS: 2-0-0 (4)

TV: None

2009-10 Regular Season Series:
11/12/09 – NSH 3 – STL 1
11/27/09 – STL 3 – NSH 1
12/29/09 – NSH 4 – STL 3
3/21/10 – NSH 3 – STL 2
4/1/10 – STL 2 – NSH 3
4/10/10 – STL 1 – NSH 2 (SO)

Dominance: With 35 wins over the Blues, the Predators have more wins over St. Louis than any other franchise. The record doesn’t tell the whole story, however. Prior to the lockout, the Predators had an 8-19-3-2 record against the Blues, including a 3-10-1-2 road record. After the lockout, however, the roles reversed…and then some. The Predators won the first 14 games against the Blues following the lockout and have held a 27-6-3 record. Last year’s November 27 loss marked the first regulation home loss to the Blues since 2003-04. Prior to the lockout, the Predators had a 5-9-2-0 record against the Blues at home…turning it around to a purely dominant 14-1-3.

Anders the Giant: On Wednesday night, Anders Lindback made his first career start in Chicago and won, stopping 23 of 25 shots against the defending Stanley Cup Champions. Five previous goalies have made their first career starts with the Predators: Tomas Vokoun, Chris Mason, Jan Lasak, Brian Finley and Pekka Rinne. Of those goalies, only Pekka Rinne won his first career start – coincidentally, also a victory over Chicago.

Special Teams: It’s two games into the year, but so far, the power play looks promising, registering goals in both games. With a 20.0% power play percentage, the Preds currently sit ninth in the league in power play scoring. Consider last season, it took the Preds 9 games to register their second power play goal and they only scored 1 in their last 11. Last year, the Preds also gave up 3 goals on the PK in the first two games of the year. This year, they’ve only given up 1.

Fun Stats: Through 2 games, Steve Sullivan is on pace for 82 goals and 123 points. Marcel Goc, David Legwand, Joel Ward, JP Dumont, Shea Weber and Ryan Suter are all on pace to score 82 points, while Goc, Legwand, Ward, Hornqvist and Wilson are on pace to score 42 goals. Unfortunately, Francis Bouillon is on pace for 287 penalty minutes, which is slightly above his career average of 42.1.

Halak: Through two starts so far this season, Blues goalie Jaroslav Halak has allowed 2 goals total – 1 in each game. However, against Anaheim, he only faced 14 shots. Last season, Halak had 26 wins and 5 shutouts in 45 games, with an impressive 2.40 GAA (9th) and a .924 save percentage (4th). Inexplicably, Montreal traded the 25-year-old goaltender, opting to stick with Carey Price. Halak’s only previous performance against Nashville was on January 15, 2008. The Habs won that game 3-2 on the back of Halak’s 23 saves. Halak appears to have only improved since that date.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ICE PICKS

Thursday's Best NHL Bets

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators (-185, N/A)

One of the main reasons the Ottawa Senators signed Sergei Gonchar in the offseason was to help a power play that hit on just 16.9 percent of its opportunities with the man advantage last year.

So far Gonchar has done nothing to help that until at all as the Senators continue to search for their first win of the year. Ottawa is 0-for-14 with the man advantage heading into Thursday’s game after going 0-for-5 in a 3-2 loss to the Washington Capitals in their last game.

Right now the Sens have Gonchar lining up on the left side on the power play instead of the right, where he spent most of his time with the Pittsburgh Penguins.

“It’s the beginning of the season and I’m a new addition to the power play, so maybe we’re not knowing each other well enough yet,” he told reporters. “It’s not only me being on the other side, but the other thing is guys learning from me, about how I bring the puck to the middle (of the ice) and the timing. The timing of it, when you’re under pressure, is so important.”

With the sort of firepower Ottawa has, it’s only a matter of time until the pucks start going in.

Pick: Ottawa Senators


St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators (N/A)

Look out for these young St. Louis Blues. Last year they finished on a great 23-15-4 run after Davis Payne took over behind the bench and they have most of the same group together this year.

The major difference? Jaroslav Halak in goal.

The Blues will still make mistakes out there, but this year they have Halak to clean up the mess. So far this year he’s doing just that, allowing only two goals through the club’s first two games of the year.

This visit to Nashville could be interesting. The Blues head into Thursday’s matchup having won just nine of their last 36 matchups against the Predators, including only five or their last 21 games at Nashville.

The Predators are playing the second half of a back-to-back here and could be ripe for the picking.

Pick: Saint Louis Blues​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SB Professor Original NCAAF Thursday 10/14

Thursday's NCAAF Picks:

South Florida +11*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Football Crusher

Play of the Day:

Kansas +3.5 over Kansas State (Buy Half a Point if line is @ 3)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Central Florida (-5-1/2) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's West Virginia. The profit is 425 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Central Florida thundered past overmatched Mar shall last night, which did nothing to lighten Hondo's load as the deficit grew to 2,785 huffs.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will stay in school and continue to hit the books with a 10-unit investment on West Virginia.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
533 - 383 run 58 %

Bonus Play 15-3 Bonus Play run Phil Flyers Thurs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 12-11 (.522)

PHILADELPHIA 4, Tampa Bay 2
Carolina vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NASHVILLE 3, St. Louis 2
Edmonton vs. MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Detroit vs. DALLAS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CALGARY 3, Florida 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI CFB

Thursday, October 14, 2010
Big East Conference
WEST VIRGINIA 26, South Florida 12

 

[MSU_Bulldog]

ROOT

MIll- S. Fla +11

BONUS GAME- Kansas +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Tout NHL-Thu
Play Edmonton +110 over Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux Sports - Comp Pick

CFB - USF/W.V. Over 44